|
01:50
|
Core Machinery Orders
|
Jan |
16.1%; 16.8% |
-9.6%; 10.5% |
-5.5%; 13.7% |
Low
|
Japan machinery orders received from the private sector excluding volatile orders.
|
02:30
|
Employment Change
|
Feb |
26.1K |
20.8K |
48.9K |
High
|
Tracks the number of the employed in Australia . The figure appears in the monthly Labour Force Survey conducted by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. A surge in new employment suggests higher spending potential and budding inflation pressures, which the RBA often counters with rate increases.
The headline figure is the annualized percentage change in employed workers.
|
02:30
|
Unemployment Rate
|
Feb |
4.1% |
4.1% |
4.3% |
High
|
The percentage of individuals in the labor force who are without a job but actively seeking one. A higher Unemployment Rate is generally a drain on the economy. Not only does it mean that resources are not being fully utilized, but it also results in lower consumer spending as there are fewer workers receiving paychecks.
Note: The unemployment rate generally moves slowly, so changes of only a few tenths of a percent are still considered significant. Also note that the unemployment rate does not account for discouraged workers. Therefore, in an economically depressed environment, such as that which occurred in Cold War era East Germany, the Unemployment Rate may not accurately reflect the extent of problems.
|
02:30
|
Part Time Employment Change
|
Feb |
54.6K; -28.5K |
|
-30.5K; 79.4K |
Medium
|
Modern award usually defines a part-time employee as an employee who is engaged to work less than an average of 38 ordinary hours per week and whose hours of work are reasonably predictable, with a guaranteed minimum number of hours of work. Work is usually performed on regular days of the week. A part-time employee will usually be entitled to the same employment conditions as a full-time employee, but on a pro rata basis compared to the full-time hours (usually 38 per week) prescribed under the applicable industrial instrument.
|
02:30
|
Participation Rate
|
Feb |
66.7% |
66.7% |
66.9% |
Low
|
A measure of the active portion of an economy's labor force. The participation rate refers to the number of people who are either employed or are actively looking for work. The number of people who are no longer actively searching for work would not be included in the participation rate. During an economic recession, many workers often get discouraged and stop looking for employment, as a result, the participation rate decreases.
|
02:30
|
ECB Financial Stability Report
|
|
|
|
|
Low
|
Since 2004 the ECB has published twice a year the Financial Stability Review which provides an overview of the possible sources of risk and vulnerability to financial stability in the euro area.
|
04:46
|
BoJ MPC Interest Rate Announcement
|
Mar |
0.75% |
0.75% |
0.75% |
High
|
The Bank of Japan Policy Board meets once a month for two days to discuss economic developments inside and outside of the country. The culmination of the meeting is the announcement of any adjustments to interest rates or other aspects of monetary policy.
Like any central bank, the BOJ is tasked with ensuring price stability while taking into account economic growth, employment, and recommendations from the elected government. With this goal in mind, a "Guideline for Money Market Operations" is established at each meeting. Changes in the rate have far-reaching consequences, affecting consumer loans, mortgages, bonds and the exchange rate of the Yen. The statement is the Bank of Japan's collective outlook on the economy as well as a source for clues on future monetary policy decisions. When it comes to interest rates, the future direction of rates is usually far more important than its current rate.
|
04:46
|
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
|
|
|
|
|
High
|
The Bank of Japan publishes the summary from its monthly monetary policy meetings some time after the actual meeting. These meetings are held to review economic developments inside and outside of Japan and decide the central bank’s monetary policy. The minutes usually come out late, at least a month after the meeting, but give detailed insight into the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision making process.
|
06:30
|
Industrial Production
|
Jan |
2.2%; 2.3% |
2.2%; 2.3% |
4.3%; 0.7% |
Low
|
Measures the per volume change in output from mining, quarrying, manufacturing, energy and construction sectors in Japan. Industrial production is significant as a short-term indicator of the strength of Japanese industrial activity. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation.
The report is only a preliminary estimate figure that does not move the markets much. The figure is released in headlines as a monthly percent change.
|
08:30
|
FOMC Press Conference
|
|
|
|
|
High
|
The press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The FOMC conference is among the primary methods the Fed uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, along with commentary about economic conditions such as the future growth outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy.
|
09:00
|
Claimant Count Change
|
Feb |
4.7K |
25.8K |
24.7K |
Medium
|
The UK claimant count provides data on those individuals who are out of work and who are claiming some sort of unemployment benefit.
|
09:00
|
Claimant Count Rate
|
Jan |
5.2% |
5.3% |
5.2% |
Medium
|
The Claimant Count is the UK's most timely measure of unemployment. The report measures the number of people who claim unemployment benefits, but actively seeking work. The Claimant Count serves as a barometer for the health of the UK labor market. Higher job growth accompanies economic expansion and could spark inflationary pressures.
The headline number is a percentage change in the figure.
|
09:00
|
Average Earnings Index
|
Jan |
4.2%; 4.1% |
3.9%; 4.0% |
3.9%; 3.8% |
Medium
|
It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.
Data represents the 3-month moving average compared to the same period a year earlier. A figure that excludes bonuses is also released, but not included for lack of significance. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jan 2010
|
10:30
|
SNB Basic Interest Rate
|
Mar |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
High
|
The National Bank of Switzerland introduced a new key rate, abandoning its binding to Libor. One of the most important indicators for currency. Rising rates or even the intention to tighten policies contribute to the growth of the currency.
|
10:30
|
SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
|
|
|
|
|
High
|
It's the primary tool the SNB Governing Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions.
|
11:00
|
SNB Press Conference
|
|
|
|
|
High
|
Press Conference SNB takes half an hour after the decision on the bet. Speech may contain unexpected declarations that move markets, but the main remarks solutions will be available a bit earlier during the announcement of the rate decision.
|
11:44
|
10-y Bond Auction
|
Mar |
3.17%; 2.5 |
|
3.48%; 2.3 |
Low
|
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency.
|
14:00
|
BoE Interest Rate Decision
|
Mar |
3.75% |
3.75% |
3.75% |
High
|
The announcement of whether the Bank of England has increased, decreased or maintained the key interest rate. The BoE meets monthly to decide on monetary policy. After each meeting policy decisions are announced. The main task of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee is to set the monetary stance by fixing the overnight borrowing rate, which is incremental in determining the short-term rates. Through this mechanism, the BoE attempts to affect price levels in order to keep inflation within the target range while maintaining stable economic growth and employment.
The BOE Rate decision has great influence on financial markets. Changes in rates affect interest rates for consumer loans, mortgages, bond, and the exchange rate of the pound. Increases in rates or even expectations of increases tend to cause the pound to appreciate, while rate decreases cause the currency to depreciate.
|
14:00
|
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
|
Mar |
0-4-5 |
0-2-7 |
0-0-9 |
High
|
This indicator shows how the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee voted. Published monthly, 13 days after the decision on interest rate was announced
|
14:00
|
Monetary Policy Summary
|
|
|
|
|
High
|
It's among the primary tools the MPC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their vote on interest rates and other policy measures, along with commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their votes. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes.
|
14:30
|
Unemployment Claims
|
Mar |
213K |
215K |
205K |
High
|
The indicator shows the number of unemployed people in the USA.
|
14:30
|
Continuing Claims
|
Mar |
1847K |
1850K |
1857K |
Medium
|
Continuing claims refers to unemployed workers that qualify for benefits under unemployment insurance. In order to be included in continuing claims, the person must have been covered by unemployment insurance and be currently receiving benefits. Data on unemployment claims is published by the Department of Labor on a weekly basis, allowing for frequent updates on the levels of unemployment.
|
14:30
|
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
|
Mar |
16.3 |
8.3 |
18.1 |
Medium
|
It is a survey conducted by the Philadelphia Fed questioning manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District on general business conditions. Conducted since 1968, the "Philly Fed" survey is an established report, valued for its timeliness, scope of coverage and tendency to forecast developments in the market moving ISM Manufacturing figure.
Higher Philadelphia Fed Survey figures indicate a positive outlook from manufacturers suggesting increased production. Higher production contributes to economic growth, which is generally bullish for the dollar.
Results are calculated as the difference between percentage of positive and negative scores; zero acts as the centerline point.
|
15:15
|
Deposit Facility Rate
|
Mar |
2.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
Medium
|
Financial institutions can place surplus funds in the European Central Bank-administered Marginal Lending Facility to be loaned to institutions requiring overnight loans to meet temporary cash shortages. The Deposit Rate is the interest paid to depositors when they place funds with their respective national Central Bank within the Eurosystem.
|
15:15
|
Marginal Lending Facility
|
Mar |
2.40% |
2.40% |
2.40% |
Medium
|
A mechanism that central banks use when lending funds to primary dealers. Lending facilities provide financial institutions with access to funds in order to satisfy reserve requirements using the overnight lending market. Lending facilities are also used to increase liquidity over longer periods such as by using term auction facilities.
|
15:45
|
ECB Press Conference
|
|
|
|
|
High
|
The European Central Bank press conference following interest rate announcement.
|
16:00
|
New Home Sales
|
Jan |
712K; -6.8% |
722K |
587K; -17.6% |
Medium
|
Records sales of newly constructed residences in the United States. The figure is a timely gauge of housing market conditions counting home sales when initial housing contracts are signed. Because New Home Sales usually trigger a sequence of consumption, they have significant market impact upon release. In addition to the high expenditure of the new home, buyers are likely to spend more money on furnishing customizing and financing their home. Consequently, growth in the housing market spurs more consumption, generating demand for goods, services and the employees who provide them.
Generally, the housing market is tracked by a number of reports that mark different stages of the construction and home sale process. The first stage is Building Permits, which precede Housing Starts, which lead to Construction Spending, MBA Mortgage Applications and, finally, New Home Sales and Existing Home Sales. As the headline housing figure, New Home Sales are believed to control some of the volatility of other data. For instance, Building Permits and Housing Starts are considered more indicative of business confidence and production rather than consumer spending. And while Existing Home Sales figures are more indicative of consumer expenditures, they are lagging indicators with less predictive value. New Home Sales numbers are considered confirmatory of housing trends and still predictive of consumer spending.
New Home Sales is also a good indicator of economic turning points due to its sensitivity to consumer income. Buying a house is always a major expenditure, typically only undertaken when consumers have sufficient savings or are optimistic about future earnings. Historically, when economic conditions slow, New Home Sales are one of the first indicators to reflect the change. By the same token, New Home Sales undergo substantial growth when the economy has emerged from recession and wages have begun to pick up.
The report headline is the total amount of properties sold.
|
16:00
|
Wholesale Inventories
|
Jan |
0.2% |
0.2% |
-0.5% |
Low
|
The stock of unsold goods held by wholesalers. Wholesalers act as intermediaries between manufacturers or importers, and retailers. Wholesalers sell directly to retailers, who strive to act in accordance (ideally) with consumer demand. Consequently, high Wholesale Inventories indicate that unsold goods are piling up, suggesting that retailers are facing lagging consumer demand and unwilling to purchase goods. Conversely, declining Wholesale Inventories suggest retailers are buying more goods to meet strong or rising demand. Because Wholesale Inventories reflect the demand retailers have for their manufacturers' wares, the report offers an early indication of the potential strength of consumer spending.
Wholesale Inventories are reported in headlines as a percent change from the previous month.
|
16:00
|
Leading Index
|
Jan |
97.6; -0.2% |
; -0.1% |
97.5; -0.1% |
Low
|
The Index includes account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. As the aggregate of many leading indices the Leading Economic Index provides a forecast of the future state of the domestic economy and is thought to predict activity that will occur 6-9 months after the reporting period.
The index operates on a 1-100 scale, where a value lower than 50 means that most indictors are negative and a value higher than 50 means most indicators are positive. In both cases a greater distance from the midpoint (50) means that the indicators are more strongly positive or negative.
|
16:30
|
EIA Natural Gas Storage Change
|
Mar |
-38 |
39 |
35bln |
Low
|
Weekly report about natural gas storage change in the USA.
|
23:45
|
Trade Balance
|
Feb |
-627M; -2295M |
-740M |
-257M; -2996M |
Medium
|
A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.
Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.
Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.
However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.